Prediction I

Competition: Guess the Age

In groups of 3-4, you will be jointly trying to predict the ages of people shown in photographs. I will show 10 photographs, about 10 seconds per, then you will have 4 minutes to discuss. One team member will enter your predictions into a google form.

  • Get into groups (you may need to move)
  • Decide who will fill out the form
  • Discuss the method by which you’ll decide how to formulate a prediction for each picture
04:00

Discuss your predictions

04:00

Enter your predictions

Informal Modeling

What is a predictive model?

A system to take known characteristics of an object and formulate a prediction for an unknown charactistic.

What did you look for in photo?

How did you turn features into a prediction?

Individual





Ensemble

How did you learn to predict?

How should we evaluate predictions?

Which data?





Which metrics?

Statistical Modeling

What is a predictive model?

A system to take known characteristics of an object and formulate a prediction for an unknown charactistic.

What did you look for in photo?

How did you turn features into a prediction?

Individual





Ensemble

A simple statistical model for age

How did you learn to predict?

How should we evaluate predictions?

Which data?





Which metrics?

Machine Learning